Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 415.736539 472.000234 534.302132 608.618169 695.125425 792.970774 912.476382
2026-01-11 332.999964 407.047158 496.365671 612.899846 762.182881 948.690569 1201.991958
2026-01-18 281.529704 360.542025 461.188016 600.379665 790.380121 1044.310208 1415.557778
2026-01-25 245.094253 325.758222 433.104510 588.779189 812.735048 1129.477569 1622.695275
2026-02-01 225.863604 310.290119 427.134799 604.036084 871.099798 1269.251978 1927.365814
2026-02-08 205.304894 290.018890 411.221990 601.614686 901.309288 1369.257469 2184.971982
2026-02-15 187.251417 271.092977 394.628460 595.186502 923.014860 1456.960655 2434.649034
2026-02-22 174.519901 258.565118 385.889763 599.193329 960.732571 1574.242280 2753.358418
2026-03-01 160.498636 242.606269 370.043808 589.505998 973.627467 1649.818125 3007.653522
2026-03-08 149.472478 230.269980 358.593789 585.495416 995.143606 1742.503777 3309.499106
2026-03-15 136.347051 213.416527 338.210004 563.853499 982.133753 1769.029566 3481.972340
2026-03-22 132.101123 210.711229 340.966154 582.877484 1045.849679 1950.003705 4011.235506
2026-03-29 128.452976 208.876260 345.316825 605.813186 1121.166724 2167.904304 4674.263841
2026-04-05 121.822152 201.402117 339.189205 608.647423 1157.442460 2311.448035 5198.729034
2026-04-12 113.624257 190.514556 325.978236 596.408235 1161.183955 2385.233512 5568.550340
2026-04-19 106.313077 180.650007 313.793968 584.873123 1164.820057 2459.047178 5954.544013
2026-04-26 103.190591 178.107541 314.918260 600.016097 1227.707416 2678.485599 6780.601678
2026-05-03 98.099342 171.549392 307.881919 597.612886 1251.240246 2808.022914 7388.094568
2026-05-10 92.954369 164.523425 299.376936 591.234046 1264.815035 2915.094175 7956.844307
2026-05-17 89.388294 160.240122 295.886177 595.210151 1303.072141 3091.020464 8782.611509
2026-05-24 84.622253 153.321555 286.615553 585.597027 1307.404609 3178.615565 9350.056099
2026-05-31 80.790387 147.981371 280.144821 581.617112 1325.148276 3305.561442 10084.832680
2026-06-07 75.505994 139.446282 266.527250 560.140118 1296.211050 3298.006104 10351.235176